Westside Aloha · Daily coastal brief2026-10-08 · partial

Westside, today

At 11:00 AM, AIFS Single Atmosphere forecasts 69°F and 2.3-knot wind. Check the advisory timing before you head out.

Updated 7:00 AM Pacific · Santa Cruz, California

Know before you go

Dense Fog Advisory

WHAT: Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog. WHERE: San Francisco, Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore, San Francisco Peninsula Coast, Northern Monterey Bay, Southern Monterey Bay, and Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley. WHEN: Until 9 AM PDT this morning. IMPACTS: Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous.

Official advisory ↗

Upcoming · Coastal Flood Advisory

WHAT: Up to 1.2 ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways. WHERE: Bayshore locations along the San Francisco and Monterey Bays. WHEN: From 9 AM Friday to 3 PM PDT Tuesday. IMPACTS: Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. High tides will result in flooding along coastal trails, cut off access to some low- lying beaches and coastal areas, and bring water and waves farther up the beach than typical. ADDITIONAL DETAILS: At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.0 ft above normal (6.86 ft MLLW) at 11:22 AM Friday 10/9, 1.2 ft above normal (7.06 ft MLLW) at 11:50 AM Saturday 10/10, 1.2 ft above normal (7.08 ft MLLW) at 12:18 PM Sunday 10/11, 1.2 ft above normal (7.03 ft MLLW) at 12:46 PM Monday 10/12, 1.1 ft above normal (6.90 ft MLLW) at 1:14 PM Tuesday 10/13, and 0.9 ft ab

Official advisory ↗
Lightest modeled wind

11:00 AM · 2.3 kn at the nearest coastal model grid. This is the lightest wind among the available forecast times, useful context for a coastal walk.

Where the forecasts differ

For 11:00 AM, offshore wave height: ECMWF AIFS Single Wave: 3.2 ft; Open-Meteo Marine: 4.5 ft; NOAA WaveWatch III / GFS-forced global wave model: 6.2 ft. These are model estimates at their respective coastal grids, not measured breaking surf.

Coastal observations at issue time

Monterey water level · NOAA 9413450

4.3 ft above MLLW · provisional

Observed 6:54 AM Pacific · 2026-10-08

Observation ↗
Monterey offshore buoy · 46042

5.2 ft · 11 s · W

Observed 6:20 AM Pacific · 2026-10-08

Observation ↗
Offshore water temperature

63.0°F

Observed 6:20 AM Pacific · 2026-10-08

Observation ↗

The new models

Experimental forecast · current

ECMWF AIFS Single Atmosphere

AIFS Single v2

11:00 AM–5:00 PM Pacific · 2 forecast times

Air
69.4–69.8 °F
Wind
2.3–6.5 kn

Retrieved 7:01 AM · 2026-10-08

Source ↗
Experimental forecast · current

ECMWF AIFS Single Wave

AIFS Single v2

11:00 AM–5:00 PM Pacific · 2 forecast times

Offshore waves
3.2–3.6 ft
Wave period
12.5–12.7 s

Retrieved 7:01 AM · 2026-10-08

Source ↗

Reference outlook

Reference forecast · current

Open-Meteo Marine

open_meteo_marine_best_match

8:00 AM–8:00 PM Pacific · 13 forecast times

Offshore waves
4.3–4.9 ft
Wave period
12.7–13.1 s

Retrieved 7:00 AM · 2026-10-08

Source ↗
Reference forecast · current

Open-Meteo Weather

open_meteo_weather_best_match

8:00 AM–8:00 PM Pacific · 13 forecast times

Air
58.6–74.1 °F
Wind
1.6–7.4 kn
Rain chance
0 %

Retrieved 7:00 AM · 2026-10-08

Source ↗
Reference forecast · current

NOAA WaveWatch III / GFS-forced global wave model

NWW3_Global_Best

8:00 AM–8:00 PM Pacific · 13 forecast times

Offshore waves
5.9–6.8 ft
Wave period
13.7–15.4 s

Retrieved 7:00 AM · 2026-10-08

Source ↗
Reference forecast · current

National Weather Service forecast

NWS_gridpoint_hourly

8:00 AM–8:00 PM Pacific · 13 forecast times

Air
62–86 °F
Wind
0.9–6.1 kn
Rain chance
0–2 %

Retrieved 7:00 AM · 2026-10-08

Source ↗
Model availability and source gaps
Experimental forecast · missing

NVIDIA Earth-2 / FourCastNet 3

Not yet available

No remaining daytime coverage

No usable forecast for the remaining daytime hours.

Experimental forecast · missing

Microsoft Aurora 1.5 Atmosphere

Not yet available

No remaining daytime coverage

No usable forecast for the remaining daytime hours.

Experimental forecast · missing

Microsoft Aurora Wave

Not yet available

No remaining daytime coverage

No usable forecast for the remaining daytime hours.

Experimental forecast · missing

ECMWF AIFS ENS Atmosphere

Not yet available

No remaining daytime coverage

No usable forecast for the remaining daytime hours.

Experimental forecast · missing

ECMWF AIFS ENS Wave

Not yet available

No remaining daytime coverage

No usable forecast for the remaining daytime hours.

Reference forecast · missing

ECMWF IFS Atmosphere

Not yet available

No remaining daytime coverage

No usable forecast for the remaining daytime hours.

Reference forecast · missing

ECMWF IFS Wave

Not yet available

No remaining daytime coverage

No usable forecast for the remaining daytime hours.